It is not how much
energy we produce, what matters is how we use it. The same goes for the
population in the country. Similarly it is not the how much aid we get as
long as we can use it in an efficient manner to produce wealth. President
Zardari wants $100 billion from the Friends of Democratic Pakistan to pull
us out of poverty without correcting the initial causes of pushing Pakistan
into the present state. It is not clear what Pakistan would do with so much
cash. Every other day some foreign agency is reported to give loans to
improve our social structure and governance. I think some concrete examples
need to be highlighted to explain my point.
We visited Dushanbe,
Tajikistan in 2002 to face hours of loadshedding. Tajikistan has surplus
energy and ready to export electricity yet Tajiks were faced with
incompetence and poor distribution system. On the other hand China is
establishing one power plant, mainly coal fired, every week for a long time.
These new power plants are environmentally friendlier as well. If Pakistan
had surplus of electricity, as we did few years’ back we only thought of
exporting it and not using it for more productive avenues.
Many people complain
of over population in Pakistan and attribute that with underdevelopment. May
I remind them that in that case Balochistan would have been the richest part
of Pakistan but it is the reverse. Instead of using our human resource for
more productive ventures all we have achieved is to export it. Our exported
manpower is a useful source of earning foreign exchange. Pakistan receives
$9 billion every year from our workers abroad and is an important source of
keeping Pakistan afloat.
The world has pumped
$8.8 billion into East Timor since 1999 independence, which comes to $8000
per head. However the country is worse than before. It is estimated that
just 10% of $5.2 billion actually came to E Timor. While on security $3
billion has been spent without much to show on the ground (Little to show
for billions spent in East Timor. AP. The News BusinessNews. September 13,
2009). Then there is the example of the first black and to add slave ruled
independent country in Latin American (January 1, 1804) the Republic of
Haiti. After British and French invasions of the country the American sent
in the marines to ‘bring peace’ to the country. In fact the Americans were
safeguarding their economic interest and were rulers of the country from
1915 to 1934. The country was again invaded by US in 1994. Haiti remains the
poorest and the most unstable country in Latin America. The UN (actually
American) efforts to reintroduce democracy, peace, and prosperity in the
country have miserably failed despite intake of huge quantities of financial
inputs. Similar stories come from many African countries where development
has been reversed since independence due to lack of appropriate human
resource and institutions.
The role of the
institutions is crucial for development of nations. We deliberately trashed
the institutions, which we inherited. PIA has the credit of developing more
than ten airlines in the Middle East and Far East and was once in the top
ten airlines. During the times of late President ZA Bhutto indiscriminate
employment was given to PPP loyalists. His daughter repeated the process
when she twice came into power. Even Nawaz Sharif used PIA for his loyalists
during his second stint as PM. The result has been bankruptcy of what was
one the finest the airline in the world. Take for example the Mughalpura
railway workshop half of which had electricity in 1882. This workshop was
the largest in Asia. Today we have to import railway engines and bogies from
China! Again in 1882 Punjab University was created and became the best in
Asia. Today the university is little more than a glorified madrassa
producing next generation of extremists. I could go no endlessly but we all
know that we are governed by criminals and dakats while the world is pumping
in aid/loans so that our governance can improve. Aid for social sector is an
old story and it failed every time. Why should it succeed now? It is a
miracle that our higher justice system was saved by the people of Pakistan
and not the rulers who tried their best to destroy it and aid from the World
Bank only produced a more compliant judiciary. The justice system improved
without any aid/loan from abroad.
This brings me to
the Kerry-Lugar Bill worth $1.5 billion annually for the next five years
(70% will never reach Pakistan). According to Hussain Haqqani the ‘American
ambassador to US’ the conditionalities put in the K-L Bill is for the
American government and not Pakistan (Congress put conditions on US in
Kerry-Lugar Bill: Haqqani. The News. September 30, 2009). He was further
thrilled that the Bill has not said any thing about our nukes (US bill
places no curbs on Pak nukes: Haqqani. The News. October 2, 2009). I thought
the professor was more intelligent than giving such a stupid statement.
The Enhanced
Partnership with Pakistan Act 2009 alias Kerry-Lugar Bill should have been
put across during Ayub Khan times with more stringent conditionalities. The
Americans have been doling out money to Pakistan since 1950s have now
realised that the Pakistani administration has been too smart in using the
American funds, which never reached the target population. US aid in the
past was used as a bribe for the people in power. Then there was the chronic
problem of coups each of which was exploited for American interest but put
the Pakistani democracy back many decades. On the other hand the government
cannot fulfil the conditionalities since successive governments for their
self-interest have wrecked the institutions. We should welcome the American
conditionalities with open arms. Perhaps this may set our priorities in the
right direction. Here I do not agree with many authors writing in the
newspapers who make this Bill an ego issue. The underlying issue is that
this time the Americans refuse to allow the aid to be consumed (eaten) by
few people at the top and that is most unfair (Jillani, Anees. The price of
aid. Dawn. September 30, 2009; Amir, Ayaz. Kerry-Lugar: bill or document of
surrender? The News. October 2, 2009; Saleem, Farrukh. Kerry-Lugar. The
News. October 4, 2009).
I wish the K-L Bill
had also addressed the issue of more than 100 federal ministers each costing
us Rs 100,000 per day and the cost of foreign trips of the President and the
Prime Minister (Hassan, Masood. Gilded lives. The News. October 4, 2009).
Another Pakistani
ego issue is of appointment of head of task force on education of Sir
Michael Barber by the UK government. Sir Michael was rewarded for reforming
the British schooling system (Mustafa, Zubeida. And now the Barber touch.
Dawn. September 30, 2009).
The aid giving
countries have to develop a different scientific criteria if they seriously
want to help the poor countries which should be based on the inherent
capacity of the human resource backed by its institutions to use the aid in
a competent manner. Without strong institutions aid as a dole out only adds
to our debt (Nishtar, Sania. Is aid the answer? The News. September 28,
2009). Aid is a political leaver used by the aid giving country. I shall not
give the example of development of North America, Australia, or New Zealand
where criminals and rejects were sent from all over Europe. China is nearer
home relevant to Pakistan and is a recent phenomena. We have been told
endless lies about how bad the Chinese are. The strong point of China was
its thinking leadership. In 1978 China decided to open its economy. The
Chinese path to progress had started much earlier when they set their
priorities in knowledge. By 1989 they had one 5 star hotel in Beijing. By
1992 one five star hotel was being built every week. The Beijing Lhasa
railway is an engineering marvel. The development in case of China was not a
sudden outpouring of development work but was backed by years of hard work
in various fields. Most significant fact was that they did not get financial
aid from the World Bank or IMF or any other foreign agency. Nor did their
leaders have foreign bank accounts or properties in Dubai or UK or US or
Spain. There is no shortcut to success.
Two eminent
political scientists were recently asked on a TV talk show as to how 9/11
changed Pakistan. They had a hard time in explaining the impact of 9/11 on
Pakistan. The fact is that it had impacted the higher authorities in the
establishment in Pakistan to change part of their foreign policy but made no
difference for the people of the country. Pakistan has been through bigger
upheavals in the past, which also made no difference in terms of national
change. The worst we have been through is dismemberment of the country in
1971 but we comforted our selves in the view that we were better off without
the cyclone prone eastern wing. The governance level instead of becoming
better got worse than before. Corruption has increased and Aid to Pakistan
has over the years made us beggars and addicts where our indigenous talent
was ignored. We are now in the same category as the Red Indians and
Australian aborigines surviving on dole and confined to our settlements
investing in ‘drugs’, ‘alcohol’, and ‘religion’. Our poverty alleviation
programmes including Zakat are again based on doling out money to the poor
so that they do not have to strive and have made them permanent beggars in
the poverty cycle. This strategy of doling out money is more political
rather than for the benefit of the poor. Furthermore it breeds corruption.
We do not need aid for correcting the state of our social sector, which is
the direct responsibility of the state. So far major upheavals faced by
Pakistan over 62 years of existence have failed to make us change and we
continue on our old course of dependence on large cache of aid for our next
meal. We may not be a failed state yet but it is fast failing since we are
not prepared to change our addiction to easy money. We again have a window
of opportunity with the world bending backwards to address the old
predicament of Pakistan. In solving our major problems only people matter
and not cronyism or mere personal loyalty.